Severe Weather Risk
Iowa Storm Center.com
Date: 10/12/23 at 4:21am Central
Timing: Effective this evening through early Friday morning….
Hazards: Large hail, damaging winds, heavy rainfall and an isolated tornado.
Discussion: The upper-level low will continue to intensify today setting the stage for a round of severe storms this evening through late tonight. The current thinking is for an arch of super-cell thunderstorms to develop over central and eastern Nebraska this afternoon. All of this activity should continue to shift east into western Iowa this evening with the main risks of hail and gusty winds. Additionally, a limited layer of instability combined with deep moisture should make conditions sufficient for heavy rainfall across northwest Iowa later tonight into early Friday morning.
The system will continue to churn east on Friday where, yet another round of stronger storms will be possible from central to eastern Iowa. This entire setup is much like that of May 13th from earlier this year. So, we will be monitoring tornado probabilities in these zones heading into Friday with all hazards possible.
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NOTE: The alerts and outlooks posted here are customary made to inform. At times, which is often, you will see an alert forecast posted on here that you do not see elsewhere. That is fine, the track record of the main office is very high so maintain to follow an event when posted.
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