Author: Meteorologist Maurer

An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms over eastern Iowa will continue to move east this morning ahead of a warm front. The afternoon will feature a robust environment over far east Nebraska through western Iowa with dew points surging into the upper 50s to lower 60s ahead of the cold front. Once the evening hits, we should see development coincide over eastern Nebraska initially with activity expected to grow upscale working into Iowa later tonight. While some severe threat may transpire over northern Iowa and southern Minnesota, the threat will be limited as dynamics will be on the downtrend…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — Active pattern developing late this month extending into early May with multiple rounds of showers and storms. A northwest flow will persist through the early part of this week ahead of a return to the southwest flow with a storm system anticipated on Thursday, April 17th. While some severe risk may coincide near the front Thursday evening, confidence is not high enough right now to highlight any specific area and will need further monitoring. More importantly, we are watching for a major uptick in storm systems including severe weather risks late April through the first week of May.…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — Our next storm system will move through the Midwest early this week bringing another round of severe weather. An upper level system will develop on Tuesday morning before quickly emerging into the central plains by Tuesday night. Forecast solutions are in very good agreement at this distance on an expansive area of severe thunderstorm development over east/southeast Nebraska extending southward along the cold front. The main takeaway is that this activity will drift east/northeast throughout the yellow shaded zone where these areas will be at risk for large hail and damaging winds later Tuesday night through Wednesday morning.…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — Strong storm system to bring showers/thunderstorms and accumulating snow to the Midwest Saturday through Sunday. A Colorado Low will develop Friday afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms to initiate during the evening over SE South Dakota through SW Minnesota and into NE Nebraska which may be strong initially. This activity will spread into northwest Iowa by Saturday morning with a rainy day on tap over far northern Iowa. Once Saturday afternoon hits, a broad area of dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s will extend over a large portion of Iowa coupled with a layer of…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — The active pattern will continue with a set of storm dates through the end of the month, mostly rain events here. We have a very weak system moving through today with light rain showers, but the focus is on the system that will move through late Saturday night into Sunday which is the one we talked about yesterday. Full forecast on that soon. Then watching for a strong storm system later next week (March 28-31) that has the potential for both severe and winter weather. This aligns with the call we made in late February for a big…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — An upper level low will emerge into the central plains tonight with the main points summarized below. Full video forecast available here – https://youtu.be/dayeaOlwNIY 1. Strong thunderstorms to develop over southwest/central Iowa from 2-7 AM capable of small to large hail. 2. Snow and strong wind/blizzard threat increase 5-7 AM Wednesday morning over western Iowa. 3. Snow and strong winds spread into central Iowa 11 AM – 2 PM with at least reduced visibility during snowfall. 4. Second round of severe thunderstorms over southeast Iowa 12-4 PM capable of wind and hail. 5. Highest snowfall totals will be…

MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TODAY – Friday, March 14, 2025 – An upper level low will emerge into the plains this morning with gulf moisture surging northward. Since this is going to be long with a lot of details, we will summarize the main points below. 1.Strong southerly surface winds today with gusts of 35-45 MPH, locally higher possible. 2.The focus extends from southwest to central Iowa for severe thunderstorm development 3-5 PM late this afternoon. 3.Two areas of tornado potential, one near the surface low from southwest to central Iowa and a secondary threat along the low-level jet across…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — A heightened severe threat will extend over the area late Friday afternoon through the evening with all hazards possible. Strong southerly surface winds with gusts of 35-45 MPH will surge moisture and instability northward ahead of a heightened severe weather threat late Friday afternoon through the evening. The focus will extend over southwest to central Iowa around 4-5 PM for severe thunderstorm development along an axis of dew points in the 50s. Despite an area of limited low-level shear, strong vorticity in the northeast quadrant of the surface low should compensate to support a couple of tornadoes in…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — The spring pattern will favor a continuation of snow risks in the northern plains and an uptick in severe weather threats over Iowa, Missouri and points southeast. These storm systems will still be capable of snow risks for the northwest half of Iowa through the latter half of March before milder systems become more prevalent further into the season. Once we move towards April, the primary setup for severe weather will feature warm fronts over the area yielding a very active tornado season ahead. A pattern of this kind will favor the highest activity over the Ohio/Tennessee valleys…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — An upper level system is forecast to work across the north and central plains Friday/March 14 through Saturday/March 15 with a variety of dynamics for the Midwest. While exact timing will need to be narrowed down, signals are growing on at least some shower/thunderstorm threat during the period with a layer of moisture and instability surging northward. This may lead to a severe weather threat though confidence remains lower on timing and location of severe risk preventing any introduction of probabilities right now. However, confidence is high for wind gusts of at least 35+ MPH across the entire…