Author: Meteorologist Maurer

(IowaStormCenter.com) — The active pattern will continue with a set of storm dates through the end of the month, mostly rain events here. We have a very weak system moving through today with light rain showers, but the focus is on the system that will move through late Saturday night into Sunday which is the one we talked about yesterday. Full forecast on that soon. Then watching for a strong storm system later next week (March 28-31) that has the potential for both severe and winter weather. This aligns with the call we made in late February for a big…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — An upper level low will emerge into the central plains tonight with the main points summarized below. Full video forecast available here – https://youtu.be/dayeaOlwNIY 1. Strong thunderstorms to develop over southwest/central Iowa from 2-7 AM capable of small to large hail. 2. Snow and strong wind/blizzard threat increase 5-7 AM Wednesday morning over western Iowa. 3. Snow and strong winds spread into central Iowa 11 AM – 2 PM with at least reduced visibility during snowfall. 4. Second round of severe thunderstorms over southeast Iowa 12-4 PM capable of wind and hail. 5. Highest snowfall totals will be…

MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TODAY – Friday, March 14, 2025 – An upper level low will emerge into the plains this morning with gulf moisture surging northward. Since this is going to be long with a lot of details, we will summarize the main points below. 1.Strong southerly surface winds today with gusts of 35-45 MPH, locally higher possible. 2.The focus extends from southwest to central Iowa for severe thunderstorm development 3-5 PM late this afternoon. 3.Two areas of tornado potential, one near the surface low from southwest to central Iowa and a secondary threat along the low-level jet across…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — A heightened severe threat will extend over the area late Friday afternoon through the evening with all hazards possible. Strong southerly surface winds with gusts of 35-45 MPH will surge moisture and instability northward ahead of a heightened severe weather threat late Friday afternoon through the evening. The focus will extend over southwest to central Iowa around 4-5 PM for severe thunderstorm development along an axis of dew points in the 50s. Despite an area of limited low-level shear, strong vorticity in the northeast quadrant of the surface low should compensate to support a couple of tornadoes in…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — The spring pattern will favor a continuation of snow risks in the northern plains and an uptick in severe weather threats over Iowa, Missouri and points southeast. These storm systems will still be capable of snow risks for the northwest half of Iowa through the latter half of March before milder systems become more prevalent further into the season. Once we move towards April, the primary setup for severe weather will feature warm fronts over the area yielding a very active tornado season ahead. A pattern of this kind will favor the highest activity over the Ohio/Tennessee valleys…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — An upper level system is forecast to work across the north and central plains Friday/March 14 through Saturday/March 15 with a variety of dynamics for the Midwest. While exact timing will need to be narrowed down, signals are growing on at least some shower/thunderstorm threat during the period with a layer of moisture and instability surging northward. This may lead to a severe weather threat though confidence remains lower on timing and location of severe risk preventing any introduction of probabilities right now. However, confidence is high for wind gusts of at least 35+ MPH across the entire…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — Final forecast for spring-like storm system to bring heavy wet snow and blizzard conditions Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. The forecast remains consistent with this morning’s update, so we will summarize the main points below. 1. Scattered showers and thunderstorms work in after 12 AM Tuesday, increasing in coverage during the afternoon. 2. Rain transitions to heavy wet snow over western Iowa by Tuesday evening and gradually spreading east into central Iowa overnight, then eastern Iowa Wednesday morning. 3. Snowfall accumulations of 2-6″ extending from west/southwest Iowa through central and northern Iowa with higher amounts near the Minnesota…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — A strong spring-like storm system will bring rain, snow and strong winds Tuesday through Wednesday. The upper level system will emerge into the central plains by this evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms increasing across the area after midnight heading into Tuesday morning. Then the main axis of moisture will work up into Iowa Tuesday afternoon where thunderstorms and small hail cannot be ruled out over the southern portion of the area. Once Tuesday evening hits, rain will begin to transition over to heavy wet snow across far west/northwest Iowa around 6 PM. This will continue to spread…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — Milder temperatures set in during the upcoming week and watching for potential wintry threats in the long range. Video Analysis – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=en59BsiHGjw A ridge of high pressure will promote above average temperatures beginning the latter half of the weekend through next week with minor chances of rain/drizzle throughout the period. Then a Gulf of Alaska ridge develops to start March before breaking down with the onset of a storm system that will work across the center of the country during the week of March 3rd. The unknowns remain high at this range on where exactly the wintry threats…

(IowaStormCenter.com) — The March forecast will feature a major swing in temperatures with a highly active weather pattern for the Midwest. A ridge will develop over the Gulf of Alaska toward the end of February allowing cold air to filter back into the central United States through the first ten days of March including an increase in wintry threats across the Midwest. Then the jet stream will move northward toward the middle of the month to favor snow risks across the upper Midwest for places like South Dakota, North Dakota and Minnesota to as far south as northern Iowa. This…